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Thin value bet on river?

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  • Thin value bet on river?

    It is $11 Phase tournament with 2 Day's (Phase 1 = Day 1 and Phase 2 = Day 2). I am playing Phase 1 where I need to survive 15 levels and it has 10mins blind level. My standard bet is 45% on every street when the board is not too scary. PokerStars Hand #119574471915: Tournament #942934196, $10+$1 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IX (150/300) - 2014/08/02 21:38:45 IST [2014/08/02 12:08:45 ET] Table '942934196 21' 9-max Seat #1 is the button Seat 1: travisohc (7616 in chips) Seat 2: lllStefanlll (5228 in chips) Seat 3: Vingtcent (8920 in chips) Seat 4: Pajacas (3437 in chips) Seat 5: ZoZik99 (2826 in chips) Seat 6: !!f1ghtback! (8349 in chips) Seat 7: adikumar2010 (21517 in chips) Seat 8: SnowJram (13394 in chips) Seat 9: Lamos (17041 in chips) travisohc: posts the ante 30 lllStefanlll: posts the ante 30 Vingtcent: posts the ante 30 Pajacas: posts the ante 30 ZoZik99: posts the ante 30 !!f1ghtback!: posts the ante 30 adikumar2010: posts the ante 30 SnowJram: posts the ante 30 Lamos: posts the ante 30 lllStefanlll: posts small blind 150 Vingtcent: posts big blind 300 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to adikumar2010 [ ] Pajacas: folds ZoZik99: folds !!f1ghtback!: folds adikumar2010: raises 300 to 600 SnowJram: folds Lamos: calls 600 travisohc: folds lllStefanlll: folds Vingtcent: calls 300 *** FLOP *** [ ] Vingtcent: checks adikumar2010: bets 999 Lamos: calls 999 Vingtcent: folds *** TURN *** [ ] [] adikumar2010: bets 1898 Lamos: calls 1898 *** RIVER *** [ ] [] adikumar2010: bets 3606 Lamos: raises 7613 to 11219 adikumar2010: STATS :
    Bracelet Winner



  • #2
    Hi adi,

    I think value betting this river is just too thin. We're asking a lot to get called by worse hands on this run out. The Jd is a crying call at best, and worse hands than this probably just can't call us, especially for 3600. Because we'd be targeting a fairly weak range on this board for thin value, more like 2200 would work better. But, to be clear, I think it's just too thin. I would prefer to check and call rather than bet/fold, I think we do better in the long run picking off bluffs.

    Oh and where you've put your question mark... fold imo.




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    • #3
      I don't think I can check-call more then 40% pot bet and I am sure if he had Bigger flush or full house he might make it big to extract more value. That's one more reason for the blocker river bet.
      Bracelet Winner


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