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$2.20 Progressive Knockout,I am afraid to shove now?

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  • $2.20 Progressive Knockout,I am afraid to shove now?

    It's $2.20 Progressive Knockout with 10mins blind level. I am ultra deep in top 130 in a big field. I was about to shove over the original raise but the SB player made the move I am not sure now should I still shove or fold? PokerStars Hand #119237437794: Tournament #939525174, $2.00+$2.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIX (700/1400) - 2014/07/26 1:56:16 IST [2014/07/25 16:26:16 ET] Table '939525174 70' 9-max Seat #2 is the button Seat 1: nihsumes (74366 in chips) Seat 2: kderkind (21303 in chips) Seat 3: moshpdm (21408 in chips) Seat 4: adikumar2010 (28629 in chips) Seat 5: AAugustoAA1 (25941 in chips) Seat 6: calandaxx (53206 in chips) Seat 7: gristosnikos (50574 in chips) Seat 8: VoOlek (44788 in chips) Seat 9: bizar888 (29475 in chips) nihsumes: posts the ante 175 kderkind: posts the ante 175 moshpdm: posts the ante 175 adikumar2010: posts the ante 175 AAugustoAA1: posts the ante 175 calandaxx: posts the ante 175 gristosnikos: posts the ante 175 VoOlek: posts the ante 175 bizar888: posts the ante 175 moshpdm: posts small blind 700 adikumar2010: posts big blind 1400 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to adikumar2010 [ ] AAugustoAA1: folds calandaxx: folds gristosnikos: folds VoOlek: raises 2034 to 3434 bizar888: folds nihsumes: folds kderkind: folds moshpdm: raises 17799 to 21233 and is all-in adikumar2010: STATS :
    Bracelet Winner



  • #2
    Hi adi,

    I would ship this in and go for it. With a 20bb stack we have to look for good spots, and I think this is one of them. Not always... if these were both super-nits we would have a crazy easy fold imo.

    But what do we have here? A decent size stack that has been pretty laggy opens from mp. A 15bb stack (perfect reshove stack size) moves it in from the SB. While he's been playing TAG, he's also not been a stranger to the 3B. So in addition to all the straight value shoves, I expect him to have some light shoves as well like Axs, Kxs, maybe a few mid suited connectors. In short, my best guess is that he recognizes this is a good light 3b shove situation. In fact he is also probably shoving worse pocket pairs than TT to leverage fold equity. How sweet would it be to mash it in with our TT and find the SB with 88?

    All things considered, this seems like an intelligent spot to gamble for a big pile imo.






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    • #3
      Sorry I forgot to ask main question what do I need minimum in these kinds of spots?

      My guess is 88+ and AQ+
      Bracelet Winner


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      • #4
        That sounds about right.
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