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People bluffing themselves-- $4.40 Progressive Knockout

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  • People bluffing themselves-- $4.40 Progressive Knockout

    It's $4.40 Progressive Knockout with 10mins blind level. I have 3 questions mainly: 1. Should I fold preflop 2. Should I shove on the flop once the BB player made a stupid raise 3. Should I call the turn all-in. After the hand it was obvious the BB player had Air. Also his flop min check-raise makes 0 sense. I was concered with the UTG player mainly. STATS :
    Bracelet Winner

  • #2
    Hi adi,

    1. I think there is a good case for folding preflop. Although the reads are minimal, the villain hasn't done anything out of line yet, so there's no good reason to not give his UTG open raise credit. AJo doesn't play well vs. a strong range out of position, and we can't really ascribe a wider or lite range to villain.

    2. I think I would fold, yes. The action seems ominous. Although we can close the action with a call and see the turn, there are very few turn cards that help our cause much, save for a jack, and none of them are clean cards (meaning there is no card that makes us a confident winner). And there's no turn card that makes me feel great about continuing to put more chips in the pot. Even an ace coming, we can already be drawing dead to AQ.

    3. Turn seems like a crazy easy fold to me. See #1. UTG has done nothing to dissuade us from that read and his line indicates he still he has all the monsters in his range except for maybe JT (which might not open raise UTG)... AA/KK/QQ/AK/AQ all of which we have only 4 outs against. Further, the BB certainly does have JT in his range, so UTG either doesn't know this, or doesn't care. Either way, his action indicates great strength, and our hand is certainly sub-par to that category.

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