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  • Close decision!

    It's $3.30 APPT ACOP Mega Giveaway Satellite Stage 2. 10mins blind level and 1500 starting stack. Early stages of the game. Should I shove or call or fold, it sucks to call and then fold to a shove and to directly fold is loss of chips. But if I shove I can guarantee you they will call me with garbage hands (all they need is suited cards ) but also they can wake up with a better hand then mine. PS: I think if I had AQs+ and 99+. This would be snap shove, correct me if I am wrong. I am only scared of two big stacks behind me coz if they call my shove I can go busto & one of them is a loose cannon. PokerStars Hand #118617109694: Tournament #932413503, $3.00+$0.30 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2014/07/11 19:04:33 IST [2014/07/11 9:34:33 ET] Table '932413503 1' 9-max Seat #7 is the button Seat 2: katyrix (730 in chips) Seat 3: adikumar2010 (3006 in chips) Seat 5: MiCkYKrS (1425 in chips) Seat 6: sasakku339 (5246 in chips) Seat 7: liwf68 (1052 in chips) Seat 8: Sampson_Li (1100 in chips) Seat 9: MeMiiE (5441 in chips) Sampson_Li: posts small blind 50 MeMiiE: posts big blind 100 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to adikumar2010 [ ] katyrix: raises 630 to 730 and is all-in adikumar2010: MiCkYKrS: Action Pending sasakku339: Action Pending liwf68: Action Pending Sampson_Li: Action Pending MeMiiE: Action Pending STATS :
    Bracelet Winner



  • #2
    Hi adikumar2010! I'm snap-shoving 88 here and here's why.... The opp in the hand is playing very loose, 44% to start with and can be even wider when shoving a short stack. Also, the BB, that is most likely to call.. is even wider. As wide as these opps are, I'd be much happier shoving a mid pair than Ax, because due to how wide the opp's ranges are, I'm not even most likely to be up against 2 overs.. I can easily be up against only 1 over, which makes me even better off. If everyone folds, it's about a +9%EV play against the original shove, but if the BB calls, then I'm still at about a +9%EV play (but a larger chip gain, as it's 9% of a much larger pot). Even 55+ is a +EV shove here, assuming that the BB calls. Most aces (A7o+) are +EV against even the two opps. With the aces, I wouldn't reshove the entire range, but would definitely go ATo+ and I'd include KQo+ too.. so my shove range would be 55+, ATo+, KQo+. Against a loose cannon, I'd prefer to have a made hand rather than 2 overs, as they can always hit their lowest card to bust me if I don't have a made hand. Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.umbup: John (JWK24)
    Super-Moderator



    6 Time Bracelet Winner


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    • #3
      Isn't this overplaying of 88s coz I am shoving 30BB with not a really good hand anymore if I get called from someone behind me. 30BB is too many chips in a tournament more then average stack.

      I am risking 30BB to win 8BB which is not that bad. But 30BB isn't this a marginal risky shove ?
      Bracelet Winner


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      • #4
        Against competent opponents, it is way too risky, but against these two specific opps, it's not.

        John (JWK24)
        Super-Moderator



        6 Time Bracelet Winner


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        • #5
          Thanks for explanation umbup:
          Bracelet Winner


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          • #6
            Also, remember.. we're expecting the BB to call, so the potential win is a lot more than 8BB, it's 38BB!

            John (JWK24)
            Super-Moderator



            6 Time Bracelet Winner


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