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$3.50 fifty50, bubble...is this a shove?

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  • $3.50 fifty50, bubble...is this a shove?

    im 1st in chips in the SB. in the BB is a shortie he is so short that i think he could call light if he calls and i win, the tour ends and i will have a big cash if he calls and i lose, i will be 3rd in chips do i shove here or not?

  • #2
    this is a close one depends on how he has bene playing, if he has been playing really tight im shoving otherwise its a fold he just cant fold here if he is playing normaly
    Triple Bracelet Winner

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    • #3
      Hi Espada_Nu.4! While I'm absolutely going to look to shove a wide range here, I'm going to fold and let the opp have this one and here's why. If I shove and the opp calls (which they should do VERY wide), I will have 1215 chips invested into a pot that will be 2730 (44.5%). I then to go pokerstove to see how much equity I have and even against a 50% range (really wide), I only have 35% equity. Even if they played ATC here, I'm still just under 44.5%. That means that even if they play every single hand, it's a chip -EV play for me and it will be an even larger negative tournament EV! Another problem with calling is that if I lose, I drop from the bigstack to 3rd in chips, but I'm also going to be dangerously close to even dropping to 6th and being out of the $$. Another big problem here is that each chip is worth exta money at the end of the tourney. If I call here, I can easily lose 2 out of every 3 times (or even more) and each time I lose, it costs me over $1 in real money... which is HUGE considering that it's only a $3.50 tournament. While I'd like to take the opp out and end the tourney, I need to make sure that I don't leak off my chips since they do have cash value when the tourney ends, so I'm mucking. Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.umbup: John (JWK24)
      Super-Moderator



      6 Time Bracelet Winner


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