PokerStars homepage
  • If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.


No announcement yet.

$1 45 blind vs blind, got myself into a tricky spot

  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • $1 45 blind vs blind, got myself into a tricky spot

    The opener has been very tight and is like a 15 and 5 over at least 50 hands, but that was mainly due to the start of the tournament he has picked up aggression like I have as we approach the final table and antes kick in with his small blind steal percentage at 70%. Given that he is fairly tight and i am on an awkward stack of over 20bb i don't like 3bet shoving its just to many chips. I think i should flat here looking at it now, especially because i don't like 3bet folding and if he 4bets me its not a great spot either?

  • #2
    Hi darkmajik! One question I'd have... was the opp, at this time in the tourney, playing more toward the 15/5 or the 70% steal number. One is tight, the other is loose and this is going to be critical information for ranging the opp. Against a top 15% hand, I'm only a 51.3% favorite to win the hand and would expect to most likely be in a race. Against a top 70% hand, I'm a 2-1 favorite. Against a top 5% hand, I'm a 2-1 dog. With 6 at the table, there's somewhere between 11-13 left and the top 7 cash. There is only the one short stack at my table, so unless the other table is a huge stack and the rest shorties... then I probably need to get more chips in order to get ITM. When the opp raises here, I'm either going to 3-bet or fold here... and if I 3-bet, I'm ready to call a 4-bet shove. I don't like flatting, as the opp could easily have 2 overcards here and when an over (or 2 or 3 overs) hits on the flop, I'll be in a sticky situation, as I wouldn't know if they've hit or are c-bet bluffing at me. This is where the read info will come into play. If the opp is really playing a top 15% hand (or even tighter with a 5% preflop raise), then I'm going to muck to his raise and look for a better situation. If the opp is playing a top 70% hand, then I'm a 66% favorite and will have almost 50% into the pot. Most likely, I would think the opp here is going to be tight, not loose and I'm going to muck here, still have a very playable stack and look for a better spot. I shouldn't need that many more chips to get ITM and would hope that with 28BB, I can find a better spot. Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.umbup: John (JWK24)

    6 Time Bracelet Winner



    X Cookies Information

    We have placed cookies on your computer to improve your experience on our website. You can change your cookie settings at any time. Otherwise, we'll assume you're OK to continue.