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2NL Zoom RIVER villain shove for 220BB

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  • 2NL Zoom RIVER villain shove for 220BB

    ***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** (Poker Stars)
    $2.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Saturday, August 30, 02:52:52 ET 2014
    Table Halley 3 (Real Money)
    Seat 1 is the button
    Seat 1: Hero ( $4.09 USD )
    Seat 2: Player2 ( $2.01 USD ) - VPIP: 3, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 4.0, Hands: 120
    Seat 3: Player3 ( $2.71 USD ) - VPIP: 30, PFR: 22, 3B: 8, AF: 3.7, Hands: 244
    Seat 4: Player4 ( $4.71 USD ) - VPIP: 57, PFR: 57, 3B: 0, AF: 3.0, Hands: 7
    Seat 5: Player5 ( $4.38 USD ) - VPIP: 11, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.3, Hands: 97
    Seat 6: Player6 ( $2.06 USD ) - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 2.3, Hands: 170
    Player2 posts small blind [$0.01 USD].
    Player3 posts big blind [$0.02 USD].
    ** Dealing down cards **
    Dealt to Hero [ Jd Kd ]
    Player4 raises [$0.04 USD]
    Player5 folds
    Player6 raises [$0.12 USD]
    Hero calls [$0.12 USD]
    Player2 folds
    Player3 folds
    Player4 calls [$0.08 USD]
    ** Dealing Flop ** [ 9s, Qd, Qh ]
    Player4 checks
    Player6 checks
    Hero checks
    ** Dealing Turn ** [ 7d ]
    Player4 checks
    Player6 bets [$0.19 USD]
    Hero calls [$0.19 USD]
    Player4 calls [$0.19 USD]
    ** Dealing River ** [ Th ]
    Player4 checks
    Player6 checks
    Hero bets [$1.00 USD]
    Player4 raises [$4.40 USD]
    Player6 folds
    Hero ????



    I can see villain on ATd,A9d,AQo,KQo,JQo,TT,77, maybe slowrolled 99?

  • #2
    Please use the hand replayer in the future if it's a PokerStars hand . It makes it a lot easier to understand what went on.

    So, you have two villains in this hand. The player 4 guy has maniac stats, but you only have 7 hands on him so the sample is so small that we really can't read too much into it. If you had seen him already go to showdown and end up having some really weird hands, then you could add some more weight to the idea that he is a more fishy type. The player 6 guy has more TAG/regular type stats with a decent sample size.

    Pre-flop: My thought is that it's a fold when we get the UTG open and then 3bet ahead of us. I don't say that because of player 4, but because of player 6. His 3bet stat is 4%. He might be 3betting a little wider due to the player 4 guy, but I think it's more likely that he is right in his 4% range looking for value. That puts him generally on AQ+ and JJ+ which are all hands that are way ahead of or crushing KJ, plus we have to call off the 12 cents and just hope that the presumably overly aggro player who opened from UTG doesn't raise or we will have to fold anyways. I know that KJs is a very pretty hand (believe me, I know), but this is a bad situation even though we are on the button.

    On the flop: This is not a good flop for us. A ten can make us a straight, but any K or J can't really be counted on to improve us to a winning hand. Gonna fold to a bet. No bet comes, glad to check behind.

    On the turn: I know this gives us a flush draw, but the board is paired and we are in a multi-way pot. The bet from player 6 doesn't look very strong, but I don't really like continuing here.

    On the river: I think that most of the time at 2nl this action vs multiple other players is from a guy who thinks he has a strong hand. I don't really think that he is doing this with a missed draw of some kind. The problem is that it's possible that this guy would do this with just a Q in his hand if his stats after 7 hands are actually indicative of his real long term playing style. I think that our sizing on the river should be smaller than that pot sized bet we made, maybe 50% to 70%, and I don't think it's a good idea to call off another 150+? BBs in this situation. If I had to put him on a specific hand then I would think he had TT and then go look for a better spot to get my money in, lol.


    T
    Last edited by Tyirl; Thu Sep 04, 2014, 10:42 PM.

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