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100NL, Z: Turned nuts vs. XC, XC, XR

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  • 100NL, Z: Turned nuts vs. XC, XC, XR

    Sort of an interesting hand. Villain: (59 hands)VPIP 19/PFR 12/AF 2.5 - 1 table from Brazil PF: Standard OTF: Good sizing with strong nut draw semi-bluff? OTT: Increased sizing with made hand OTR: Sizing... I felt like this sizing would be best in order to get value from worse hands as bad as pockets 8s? I also decided that I could get hands with no showdown value to XR as a bluff here? I think PF, F, T are all standard, let me know if you think different on those, main question is my river bet sizing. With this sizing vs. this XR I think we're calling 100% Thoughts?

  • #2
    Only QQ, 22 and 44 make sense.

    I would call river, dont see any value on raising, doubt I play the hand any differently.


    • #3
      Can't see us folding this far up in our range. We're gonna have a minimal amount of full house combos on this board (22-55 are marginal opens utg anyway), so I think we have to call, especially vs this sized bet on the river.

      Fwiw i'd rather bet a bigger amount otr. $15-$20.


      • #4
        Hi dirt,

        I would prefer a larger sizing otr, like $20, as I would think a fair bit of his range to check/call 2 streets includes a lot of AQ/KQ/QJ/QT holdings.

        I agree on not folding this far up in our range, as this really small sizing may induce some bluff raises by hands like 55, and smaller flushes+Qx likely think they're good and are raising for value now.

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