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Opinions please!

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  • Opinions please!

    Hey, could I please have views on this? The villain is a calling machine with a high tendency to play rubbish.

    partypoker - $5+$0|200/400 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4:

    UTG: 53.79 BB (VPIP: 43.48, PFR: 26.09, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 23)
    CO: 49.35 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
    BTN: 64.11 BB (VPIP: 34.78, PFR: 21.74, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 23)
    SB: 25.19 BB (VPIP: 43.48, PFR: 4.35, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
    Hero (BB): 48.16 BB

    5 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 2 BB) Hero has 9s 7s
    UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero checks

    Flop : (3 BB, 2 players) Kc 8d Th
    Hero checks, UTG bets 2 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

    Turn : (7 BB, 2 players) Js
    Hero checks, UTG checks

    River : (7 BB, 2 players) Jh
    Hero bets 7 BB, UTG raises to 18.67 BB, Hero raises to 45.06 BB and is all-in, UTG calls 26.4 BB

    UTG shows 9d Qh (Straight, King High) (Pre 68%, Flop 74%, Turn 97%)
    Hero shows 9s 7s (Straight, Jack High) (Pre 32%, Flop 26%, Turn 3%)
    UTG wins 97.13 BB

  • #2
    Hi Chips of Jen! When I turn the straight, I absolutely need to make a 1/2 pot value bet when the opp checks. The only way that I can check is if there is not a single card in the deck that can beat me (which is not the case since I'm holding the low end of a straight). Especially if the opp is a calling station, I want them to make the mistake that they're accustomed to... calling with worse. If the opp raises my turn bet, then I need to re-evaluate and the large raise on the river is also concerning as the opp could have hit a full house. The stat here that I would need to see is how often the opp raises the river. If they are a station, they are most likely used to calling on the river and not raising. If this is the case, then a raise from a station is a tremendous red flag as they will only do this with a monster and with the low end of a straight on a paired board... I need to muck. When stations raise, especially on the river, it's only going to be from a monster hand. Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.umbup: John (JWK24)

    6 Time Bracelet Winner


    • #3
      Hey, thanks for the help!
      With regards to not betting the turn I was first to act and wrongly anticipated a bet :P. I tried looking to find his river raise stats but the hand has long since gone into history Thank you for the advice will watch out for that in the future



      • #4
        Sorry.. I meant to lead the turn. what I get for multitasking.

        John (JWK24)

        6 Time Bracelet Winner



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