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  • Opinions please!

    Hey, could I please have views on this? The villain is a calling machine with a high tendency to play rubbish.

    partypoker - $5+$0|200/400 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

    UTG: 53.79 BB (VPIP: 43.48, PFR: 26.09, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 23)
    CO: 49.35 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
    BTN: 64.11 BB (VPIP: 34.78, PFR: 21.74, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 23)
    SB: 25.19 BB (VPIP: 43.48, PFR: 4.35, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
    Hero (BB): 48.16 BB

    5 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 2 BB) Hero has 9s 7s
    UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero checks

    Flop : (3 BB, 2 players) Kc 8d Th
    Hero checks, UTG bets 2 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

    Turn : (7 BB, 2 players) Js
    Hero checks, UTG checks

    River : (7 BB, 2 players) Jh
    Hero bets 7 BB, UTG raises to 18.67 BB, Hero raises to 45.06 BB and is all-in, UTG calls 26.4 BB

    UTG shows 9d Qh (Straight, King High) (Pre 68%, Flop 74%, Turn 97%)
    Hero shows 9s 7s (Straight, Jack High) (Pre 32%, Flop 26%, Turn 3%)
    UTG wins 97.13 BB

  • #2
    Hi Chips of Jen! When I turn the straight, I absolutely need to make a 1/2 pot value bet when the opp checks. The only way that I can check is if there is not a single card in the deck that can beat me (which is not the case since I'm holding the low end of a straight). Especially if the opp is a calling station, I want them to make the mistake that they're accustomed to... calling with worse. If the opp raises my turn bet, then I need to re-evaluate and the large raise on the river is also concerning as the opp could have hit a full house. The stat here that I would need to see is how often the opp raises the river. If they are a station, they are most likely used to calling on the river and not raising. If this is the case, then a raise from a station is a tremendous red flag as they will only do this with a monster and with the low end of a straight on a paired board... I need to muck. When stations raise, especially on the river, it's only going to be from a monster hand. Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.umbup: John (JWK24)
    Super-Moderator



    6 Time Bracelet Winner


    Comment


    • #3
      Hey, thanks for the help!
      With regards to not betting the turn I was first to act and wrongly anticipated a bet :P. I tried looking to find his river raise stats but the hand has long since gone into history Thank you for the advice will watch out for that in the future

      Oli

      Comment


      • #4
        Sorry.. I meant to lead the turn. what I get for multitasking.

        John (JWK24)
        Super-Moderator



        6 Time Bracelet Winner


        Comment

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