PokerStars homepage
  • If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.

Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

1 dolar 180 man SNG - bad shove in this spot?

Collapse
X
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • 1 dolar 180 man SNG - bad shove in this spot?

    50 players left. Villain stats: VP 38/ PR 23/ 3B 29 / 30 hands My thoughts were that he is 3beting a lot so shoving here is profitable. Now I`m not so sure anymore.
    Last edited by RedEyesX1; Fri Jul 25, 2014, 05:45 PM.

  • #2
    I like either 4 betting all in or folding here, depending on the range your attribute to the villain. It might help to look at his stats for 3 betting from the BB, so you can see positionally if he is defending it a lot. I don't like calling because all you're leaving behind is a pot sized bet, and if you miss the flop (which you will 3:1) it will be hard to call the inevitable shove and you might be being pushed off the best hand. Tough one. I'd probably lean towards folding as you still have 16bb left, but I could see it either way.
    4 Time Bracelet Winner

    Comment


    • #3
      ** moved to Basic Poker Hand Discussions **
      2 Time Bracelet Winner


      Comment


      • #4
        Its a fold man ... no matter his stats

        Comment


        • #5
          Against a 29% 3-bet, ATs is a 58% favorite.. due to this, I'm shoving!

          even if he's only playing 23% (his PFR), I'm a 55.8% favorite.

          John (JWK24)
          Super-Moderator



          6 Time Bracelet Winner


          Comment


          • #6
            Taking into account the ICM-conception (where each chip you win costs fewer than chip you lose) which is applied to tournaments I guess,It's not quite right to assess this hand only as the chance to win the pot.
            If you have won this pot, you wouldn't won the tournament and the next same hand you are beaten with possibility 70% and next - 82.5%.
            I guess it's fold.

            Comment


            • #7
              ICM is only going to apply around the bubble and FT... with this many left in the tourney, it's something that isn't really relevant.

              John (JWK24)
              Super-Moderator



              6 Time Bracelet Winner


              Comment

              Working...
              X

              X Cookies Information

              We have placed cookies on your computer to improve your experience on our website. You can change your cookie settings at any time. Otherwise, we'll assume you're OK to continue.