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10NL ZOOM, feeling lost

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  • 10NL ZOOM, feeling lost

    Villain is a 2 tabling regular. OTR, are we just calling here? Shoving? Not sure if shoving would be good here... Feeling lost... 490 hands:18/14/3.0 Tot 3B: 6.4

  • #2
    Would call.


    • #3
      I agree with calling. Don't really see us getting called by worse hands if we shove, and being beat is not impossible.
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      • #4
        Pot river here ? = shove and is fine i guess, he only needs to call like 4.7$/16$ ish on our shove.

        I would think that opponent(given stats and position) :
        - called pre in BB with a good hand (let's put him on TT+,KQs+)
        - flop - he donk raises for value (hence a bit of protection, has not paired his suited hand, no straights, not much so on the flop so his range is now TT+, I would say that 99 would've checked/called, KQs check/fold ?)
        - turn he sees hero is just calling, giving his TT+ range a reason to fire again
        - river - my best guess he is thin value betting against his opponent Ax combos that, given our hero action , seems plausible.
        If this went to showdown and wild JJ's appear then I guess it is fine. But a more aggro line on the turn (maybe min raise turn to help hero narrow opponents range ?)

        My two cents,

        PS : Ran a simulation on his range TT+,AKs,KQs on the river
        Him :9.66% 9.66% 0.00% TT+, AKs, KQs
        Hero : 90.34% 90.34% 0.00% Ac7c
        Restricting to TT+ our opponent goes from 9.66 to 12.5%
        Last edited by shoim; Fri Jun 27, 2014, 04:16 PM.



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