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[10NL Zoom] Turn top pair decent kicker facing pot sized donk bet OTR

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  • [10NL Zoom] Turn top pair decent kicker facing pot sized donk bet OTR

  • #2
    Hero (BTN): 102.3 BB
    SB: 62.5 BB (VPIP: 22.64, PFR: 13.21, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 55)
    BB: 48 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
    UTG: 104.1 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
    MP: 185.4 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 5)
    CO: 158.7 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 9.52, Hands: 49)

    i guess this was a call but i'm not too sure

    first, all obvious draws busted out and i don't think villain would value bet anything like a pair of Aces with better kicker that way, unless he binked sth silly as sets of deuces and wanted Hero to pay him off


    • #3
      Admittedly we have very few reads on the villain, but I think it's fair to assume that he's probably not a regular and he's more like a fishy calling station.

      On the flop there's arguments for both CBetting and checking back. I'm more inclined to have this in my checking range. We've got the best hand a decent amount of the time and this villain isn't likely going to put pressure on us. There's also a decent amount of good turn cards for us that will either give us two pair, some kind of straight draw and we can even credibly bet on a K or Q turn if it's checked to us.

      On the river when a passive villain like this donks big into us after we've bet at all three opportunities we've had, this is a snap-fold for me. I've made enough calls of bets like this to know that this is almost never a bluff, and we can't beat anything that he's betting for value like this.



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