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NL10 - check raised on turn wtih AA

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  • NL10 - check raised on turn wtih AA

    Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10, $0.02 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. SB: $15.41 (154.1 bb) BB: $10 (100 bb) UTG: $23.94 (239.4 bb) MP: $38.46 (384.6 bb) CO: $16.59 (165.9 bb) Hero (BTN): $10.08 (100.8 bb) Preflop: Hero is BTN with K K UTG raises to $0.20, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.70, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.50 Flop: ($1.67) 2 Q 9 (2 players) UTG checks, Hero bets $1, UTG calls $1 Turn: ($3.67) 5 (2 players) UTG checks, Hero bets $2.70, UTG raises to $7.10, Hero raises to $8.36 and is all-in, UTG calls $1.26 River: ($20.39) J (2 players, 1 is all-in) Results:

    $20.39 pot ($0.92 rake) Final Board: 2 Q 9 5 J UTG showed 5 5 and won $19.47 ($9.39 net) Hero showed K K and lost (-$10.08 net) [/spoiler] villain 44/18/10 fold to cbet 20% over 100 hands. Not sure what to make of the c/r on the turn but against this guy I dont think I can fold... maybe he could have some queen or draw? And yeah I got KK not AA did the title wrong lol

  • #2
    Hi pocket,

    I think this is just a fold tbh. The guy is loose but somewhat passive, we've shown massive strength at every opportunity, and he's check-raising the turn which really looks like a set. Seems like a Baluga theorem spot.

    I think when you say he can have some queen or draw, you're putting him on hands you can beat. I would guess a Q would raise on the flop, if it were going to raise, but in the hands of a this guy he's probably check/calling down a Q. A draw has 2 problems... one that it probably raises the flop if he's going to play it aggressively, not the turn, and the other is that we block a number of the draws by holding the Ks. I would expect to get shown QQ, 99, or Q9 a ton in this spot. (Edit: or 55 lol, same thing though at the point he check/raises).
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