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5NL Zoom - JJ - Fold to flop shove?

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  • 5NL Zoom - JJ - Fold to flop shove?

    Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. BTN: $2.63 (52.6 bb) SB: $5.97 (119.4 bb) BB: $13.91 (278.2 bb) UTG: $4.84 (96.8 bb) Hero (MP): $4.77 (95.4 bb) CO: $3.15 (63 bb) Preflop: Hero is MP with J J UTG raises to $0.10, Hero raises to $0.35, 2 folds, SB calls $0.33, BB folds, UTG calls $0.25 Flop: ($1.10) 8 5 2 (3 players) SB bets $1.05, 2 folds Results:

    $1.10 pot ($0.05 rake) Final Board: 8 5 2 SB mucked and won $1.05 ($0.70 net) UTG mucked and lost (-$0.35 net) Hero mucked J J and lost (-$0.35 net) [/spoiler] I can't figure out what this villain would have in this spot. I am thinking and over pair or maybe AK but is it worth calling the big overbet? Is there anything I could have done pre-flop that would have helped me isolate their range without having any reads? This hand left me confused so any feedback would be appreciated

  • #2
    Hi Ducttape,

    Well you've got Hold'em manager, where are the stats?

    I would expect villains in this spot to usually c/r with a set, so I think we are going to see pocket pairs (and yes QQ sometimes too) and flush draws donking into the field like this. With so much money in the pot already I would go with my hand here. I think we can move all in now, or we can flat and see what he does on the turn, preparing to fold to bad events. Like if the turn is the Kd and he bets big again, we could then fold imo.

    I would check his stats for donk betting, check/raising, etc maybe to get a feel but absent the pertinent info I'm not folding here personally.
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