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10NL SH ZOOM - Flop Play Slam Dunk Call?

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  • 10NL SH ZOOM - Flop Play Slam Dunk Call?

    Villain (509):13/8/1.6 TOT Steal: 9 (on 110 samples) TOT Fold to 3Bet: 14 (7 samples) Can this spot ever be a fold? Villain plays 13 from ALL POSITIONS and raises 8 from ALL POSITIONS as you can see from TOT steal of 9 and TOT pfr of 8. Please consider these stats as well as Fold to 3Bet being 14. Thanks,
    Last edited by dirt eh; Fri Feb 21, 2014, 04:22 AM.

  • #2
    My vote goes to : call


    • #3
      if he set mined then the hand he most likely has here is a 77. he is in position and stacks are deep so thats a very real possibility. the other hands he could be doing this with are OPs QQ+ and KQd. my best guess is its a set or KK/AA though. very rarely its a 45s. i did run into a 56s once with my KK 4bet. he flopped the nut straight and stacked me OTF. at least you have the backdoor flush draw and 2 outs if its a set. on top of that the board looks wet a lot of draws can shove on it. i lean towards calling here even if villain is a reg. its a snap call vs a fish.


      • #4
        Villain does seem very tight and will probably have a solid range here to shove this flop. It is ufortunate that we are blocking nutflushdraw combos but I do expect him to have slowplayed AA/KK/QQ here quite often and he could also be playing 66 this way besides all sets.

        Even against a tight range calling seems absolutely +EV here when I plug these ranges into pokerstove:

        58.36% AdAh
        41.64% KK-QQ, 77, 55-44
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