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NL10 SH - Missed value on flush river with top set?

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  • NL10 SH - Missed value on flush river with top set?

    Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10, $0.02 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. CO: $25 (250 bb) BTN: $33.25 (332.5 bb) SB: $25 (250 bb) Hero (BB): $13.63 (136.3 bb) Preflop: Hero is BB with A A 2 folds, SB raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1, SB calls $0.70 Flop: ($2.08) 6 J A (2 players) SB checks, Hero bets $1, SB calls $1 Turn: ($4.08) 5 (2 players) SB checks, Hero bets $2.70, SB calls $2.70 River: ($9.48) K (2 players) SB checks, Hero checks Results:

    $9.48 pot ($0.43 rake) Final Board: 6 J A 5 K SB showed 6 6 and lost (-$4.72 net) Hero showed A A and won $9.05 ($4.33 net) [/spoiler] Villain is unknown, 33/18 with AF of 0.5 so is shaping out ot be quit fishy. I bet two streets for value and check back the river as I can really only put him on 78 in which he folds or a flush in which I have to bet/fold to a check-raise or just lose money to a call. I think a jack is folding the turn most of the time and with that river I cant see a jack calling either.

  • #2
    This is quite interesting. At first sight I actually liked your checkback OTR, but giving it a closer look I guess we can make good arguments for thin valueshoving here. You have the which blocks a lot of flushes itself, villain checked river (most recreational players bet at least a small amount from up front when they get there), he could have improved to some combos of KJ/AK and if he is very loose maybe even calls with Ax. Shoving is superthin here so it really would depend on your impression of the villain and his actios.
    Live Trainer



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