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5NL Missed Value?

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  • 5NL Missed Value?

    I'm fairly sure I missed an awful lot of value on this hand. However, the river, being a street less visited, is something I tend to get uncertain / confused on. Over 71 hands he's 37/20, so seems quite stationy, but the only draws I can see that come in are J8 and QJ, which if suited are cards I can see him having here. However, he may call with two pairs, some Kx hand, etc. I guess my concern is I get raised, but now my thinking is that if that happens, he probably has me, so I can fold. Still, I hate folding sets!

  • #2
    Hi Jamei,

    I think we should be sizing bigger on the flop and turn for value, since the top 2 cards coordinate well... there's a lot of worse hands that will give us action here. I think betting the river is clear, but folding to a raise is not... QJ is really the only hand to be concerned with, but he can make other hands here that might overvalue themselves as well... KdQd, KdJd, maybe AdKd, Kd7d, KT, K9, K7s. Against a really loose player and poor decision maker I'm more inclined to bet/call here than bet/fold, personally.
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