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5 NL zoom 6max - Tunr and River decision with set

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  • 5 NL zoom 6max - Tunr and River decision with set

    Villain 33 hands. 25/19/9 -> probably regular. WWSF:6/10, WTSD:7/10, WSD:4/7 Is this obvious flush he has? PokerStars Zoom No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from Button ($5.40) SB ($22.20) BB ($5.65) UTG ($5) Hero (MP) ($5.19) CO ($2.87) Preflop: Hero is MP with 7, 7 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.15, 3 folds, BB calls $0.10 Flop: ($0.32) Q, 5, 2 (2 players) BB checks, Hero bets $0.18, BB calls $0.18 Turn: ($0.68) 7 (2 players) BB checks, Hero bets $0.46, BB raises to $1.25, Hero calls $0.79 River: ($3.18) 6 (2 players) BB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50 Total pot: $6.18 | Rake: $0.26 Results below:

    BB had 9, K (flush, King high). Hero didn't show 7, 7 (three of a kind, sevens). Outcome: BB won $5.92[/spoiler]

  • #2
    Hi braveslice

    Everything looks good up to the turn. Now you have a set, but a flush is possible and you are assuming this guy is a reg. What hands would the villain call with that you are beating in this spot? He is probably folding most hands that you are beating. Moreover, you may improve to a full house on the river. If he does have a flush, you might win a big pot off him. I prefer to check behind on the turn and reevaluate on the river. Since we have kept the villain's range wide with this line, we will be able to call a river bet.

    As played, calling the turn raise is going to be read dependent. But I think you need to fold to the river bet for sure. He is not bluffing with this line.

    Roland GTX


    • #3
      Hi Roland!

      Great you find my turn bet to be a mistake; it wasn't even doubted by me.

      OTT he will call hands I beat: {KQ,AQ,55,22,Acx}?

      Your line gives me easy play on the river so I see the merits of it. But aren’t you basically saying OTT that be scared of the flushes? Just the opposite what the books say?

      I try to fold river next time, but those odds are so tempting.


      • #4
        Depending on the opponent, I might check a turn flush hoping to check-raise, or I might lead out. So, I don't really feel like Im telling the opp that Im scared of the flush. But, yes, I see your point

        However, my primary strategy at 5NL is to create situations where I can stack my opponent. Rather than winning a small pot by betting the turn and forcing non-flush hands to fold, I would check. One, it takes away the villain's raising option in case we are behind. Two, it keeps his range wide. And three, we can now call a river raise as it will cost about the same as betting myself on the turn. Yet, as I said, if we make a full house on the river we will quite often win his entire stack. I want to be getting all in with confidence rather than bluff catching. I'm pretty tight at 10NL and lower though since I tend to focus primarily on value betting.

        Roland GTX



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