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5NL Zoom (6 max) - 99 (CO) Vs All in OTR (BTN)

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  • 5NL Zoom (6 max) - 99 (CO) Vs All in OTR (BTN)

    My stats: VPIP 16; PFR 13; 3B 3 (279) No information on Villain, other than he started the hand with less than 50BB... so didn't have him down as a reg. Pre-flop: I raised with 99 (CO). Villain (BTN) called. Flop: Opted to Cbet with o/pair OTF & Villain called. Turn: Turn card wasn't a great card as straights got there & now there was also a f/draw as well... But not wanting to give a free card decided to bet again (1/2 pot) & was planning to fold to a raise. Villain called. River: Horrible river card. After checking... Villain moves 'all in' Questions: 1). What hands would Villain call 2 streets & shove OTR? 2). If Villain has hands like 6x; 4x; 55; 78... Would he not raise beforehand? 3). Is there any argument for a call OTR... or is it an easy fold? Welcome your comments / feedback? BR Tony [aka Prodigy237]
    Last edited by Prodigy237; Mon Oct 07, 2013, 11:49 PM.

  • #2
    1). What hands would Villain call 2 streets & shove OTR?

    - He has low 3bet, so TT-QQ, 55, 66 and 44.

    2). If Villain has hands like 6x; 4x; 55; 78... Would he not raise beforehand?

    - 55 and 4x would be bad to raise, 6x and 78 some would raise other don't.

    3). Is there any argument for a call OTR... or is it an easy fold?

    easy fold, he would have to be floating with some back door draws to have a bluff here, don't really think he shoves 77 and 88 here, if he had somethink like A3d, he now has two pair with A kicker so he would check.

    You played the hand well IMO.

    Comment


    • #3
      Hi Prodigy,

      I think Villian can start with 25% of hands
      {TT-22, AQo-A7o, AQs-A2s, KQo-65o, KJo, KQs-54s, KJs-QTs, KTs}

      OTF, I think we might be floated with almost his entire calling range but when
      we bet the turn he will fold his misses and continue with:

      {TT-22, A8o, A7o, A8s-A2s, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd, Td9d, 98-54}

      Though some hands might raise the turn, with their stack size I think both SD valueand strong hands can just call down.

      By the river their range will constitute of:
      . 19% Fullhouse+
      . 12% Straight
      . 15% Overpairs
      . 3% Middle pair
      and 51% no made hands

      So now the question is whether they are capable of bluffing the river with their misses or not because against
      their Overpairs, straights+ we have 21% equity and the pot odds says we need 32% to make the call. Though some hands might elect to check back the river too.

      Comment


      • #4
        Hi George & Carlos, Thank you for your comments / feedback [... as always]. This was such a tough spot OTR... In short, I tried to narrow Villain's calling range p/f which had me beat e.g. PPs 66, 55, 44; Ax combos A6, A4; connectors / FH combos 65, 64, 54, 43 & s/draws 78, 32. However, I struggled with the idea that the Villain could resist 'not' raising with these hands OTF or OTT [... with some poss exceptions] & similarly with o/pairs as would expect them to raise p/f with QQ - TT etc Vs open raise (CO). I can also see why it should be a fold... & would 'snap' fold against a reg in this spot, but in the end decided to make the call Vs unknown Recr Player for reasons above. Here's how the hand played out. Thanks again. Tony [aka Prodigy237] umbup:
        Last edited by Prodigy237; Tue Oct 08, 2013, 06:19 PM. Reason: Added

        Comment

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