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5nl Zoom, overpair facing agression on the flop

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  • 5nl Zoom, overpair facing agression on the flop

    I got 19 hands on the villain, 28/28, raised cbet 1 time out of 1 I have trouble reading him, It seems like he had a flush draw/flush draw+overs on the flop, or TT/JJ/QQ, but wouldnt he just call with overpairs because our percieved range is strong? or is it not? Would he bet a flush like that on the turn or is it most likely that he will slow down?

  • #2
    Hi Praydk,

    I think your flop range assessment is fair... some draws, some overpairs, some sets. You can't answer if he would just call with overpairs because you have no information about how he plays. Some players would never raise with TT here, while some would go broke on the flop with it because "I put you on AK" and "I have to protect my hand".

    I think calling his check-raise and using your positional advantage on the turn is fine. And imo this is a fold on the turn without solid reads as our hand strength relative to his range has significantly weakened. We are no longer beating any draws (and in fact have zero equity against those holdings), still losing to sets, and while we'd still be ahead of overpairs any of those that contain a diamond has increased their equity against us. Plus the hands we're still ahead of (the overpairs) might sometimes slow down on this turn, where as he is not slowing down but is making a very large bet. Sigh/fold imo.
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    • #3
      thx Dave,
      but could be there something that made me more inclined to call the turn, a big agression factor perhaps?
      Last edited by Praydk; Thu Jun 13, 2013, 10:49 AM.

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