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2NL - raised with 2pair on monotone board

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  • 2NL - raised with 2pair on monotone board

    Villain 14/9/3 (119 Hands) Fold to Steal from SB 33% 3bet 6% Fold to Flop Cbet 50% I don't think a nut flush would raise this flop? So I'll take out Kxs out of his raising range. He will raise with his sets, I think 100% of the time so 66/33 are there. I think all the small flushes would raise for value and protection from a naked spade in our hand that is higher than his made flush so hands like T9s, JTs, Qxs should be raising. I can also add Ax with a spade that would raise maybe? But there are only 2 more Aces in the deck so the chances of him holding an Axs diminishes. Would he raise with lets say an AQo to protect from a 4th spade? I'm kinda confused what to range him on because our equity changes alot. Range 1: 66, 33, QsJs, QsTs, JsTs, Ts9s, 9s8s, AcQs, AdQs, AhQs, AcJs, AdJs, AhJs - we are 70-30 Range 2: 66, 33, AQs-AJs, QsJs, QsTs, JsTs, Ts9s, 9s8s, AcQd, AcQh, AcQs, AdQc, AdQh, AdQs, AhQc, AhQd, AhQs, AcJd, AcJh, AcJs, AdJc, AdJh, AdJs, AhJc, AhJd, AhJs - we are almost even money. Am I being too optimistic with my ranging? and how would you proceed with the hand? should this be an easy fold or raise situation?

  • #2
    Hi geo,

    The nut flush should be raising the flop, but you're right, most players at 2nl won't, they slow play incorrectly way too often.

    As far as ranging goes, I would take some big aces out, imagine AQ/AJ 3-bets you pre blind v blind for instance. And because it's blind v blind it's the one spot where people lose their minds more often than any other, so I think we'll get raised here by all kinds of Ax hands, naked single spade draws, and some air. I would never fold this situation with top 2.

    As far as the response to the raise, it's important to consider all your options, there are 3 of them but you're only considering 2? So imo folding is out of the question. Re-raising/getting it in is fine and should be profitable but doesn't give him a chance to bluff and might have the other nasty side effect of waking him up to the fact that an A-rag is no good. I line I kind of like here is to just call, then lead the turn. Villains aren't used to seeing this play, so it can sometimes confuse them into making a mistake. If you donk out the turn for like .32 into .56 it leaves him room to shove both on a bluff or semi-bluff, or with Ax "for protection" because he mis-interprets what's going on.
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    • #3
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