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Wet board facing overbet on turn

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  • Wet board facing overbet on turn

    edit: Pot sized, not overbet.

    Sorry, this was on FT so the output won't work with the hand replayer.

    Here is the hand:

    Full Tilt Poker $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players - http://www.handconverter.com/hands/2045956
    The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

    UTG: $2.31
    UTG+1: $0.72
    MP: $0.68
    Hero (CO): $0.96
    BTN: $1.26
    SB: $0.27
    BB: $2.71

    Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is CO with Ks Kc
    3 folds, Hero raises to $0.05, 2 folds, BB calls $0.03

    Flop: ($0.11) 9d 6d 7d (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $0.07, BB calls $0.07

    Turn: ($0.25) 9c (2 players)
    BB bets $0.25, Hero requests TIME, Hero folds

    __________________________________________________


    Notes:

    - It's a shallow table hence the stack sizes.

    - Villain is a TAG (16/12 over 50 or so hands).

    In summary I just couldn't see what I was beating with a pot sized bet. So many draws got there, I thought it'd be best to fold.

    Any thoughts?
    Last edited by birdayy; Fri Dec 28, 2012, 08:54 AM.

  • #2
    Hi birdayy,

    Interesting spot. I think from a TAG villain this line is mostly a value line, and certainly he can hold better hands like a made flush or some 9x (A9, J9s, T9s, 98s type hands). So folding is perfectly fine here imo. There is another possibility... he could hold a hand like TT-QQ that was looking for a safe turn card before committing more money, and now that he's got one is not going to allow AK or single diamonds to take a free river. (The 9 should look safe vs. the preflop raiser). If we feel like this could be happening a fair bit, the other option then is to call his turn bet, planning to fold to a river barrel, as he will usually check these worse hands to you on the river, and only bet again when he's got you beat. It's probably close either way. The only play I really don't like against this type of opponent is shoving the turn... as this is the type of player capable of bet/folding TT-QQ so it's hard to get called by too many worse hands but he'll clearly never fold better, so shoving value owns ourselves too much to be profitable imo. (Note: I'm somewhat discounting draws like the lone ace of diamonds, as this is not a common line a TAG takes on a draw).
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