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NL10 would you play this hand others

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  • NL10 would you play this hand others

    Oppo has 14/12/01 after 67 hands

  • #2
    Hi Tom,

    The guy is pretty nitty for 6-max, so I think his range to open and then flat your 3B is pretty tight in general... TT+, AQ+ most likely and not much else. When he calls your flop c-bet we can rule out AQ, but I think it's reasonable for him to call once with the rest of it. Don't really think we can profitably barrel the turn however, as a nit is only going to continue at this point with hands that beat us. The only hand in question he might get stubborn with that we're beating is specifically QQ. We lose to AK, KK, JJ and he's not calling another barrel with TT. I would generally just check on the turn here, and be comfortable folding to a decent turn bet as I doubt a nitty guy would bet QQ in this spot. As played definitely good fold on the river, this shove screams value, probably looking at AK or quads tbh. You have to be right an awful lot to make calling correct and nits don't bluff shove the river for close to pot sized bets that often, nor do the value bet worse hands than you have here like specifically QQ, he would just check that down mostly.
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    • #3
      thanks a lot Langolier for all your analyses and suggestion.So i have to learn that sometimes with AA against strong turn bet just to fold.

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