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Implied Odds

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  • Implied Odds

    The reason I called this pre-flop is the guy to my left is a mega-fish, the pot odds are good, and I've gotten much better at folding TPnK or any other one-pair type hands, especially OOP against multiple opponents. However, I don't drop this when the guy in position min-bets. Discounting the 2 of clubs, I have 3 outs, which I in my head translate quickly as 6%, and looking back my pot odds are 6.5:1, with the odds to make my hand being around 19:1, is this correct? Obviously this now looks like a mistake, unless I can make around 39c or more when I hit to break even/make a profit. However, the guy to the left will almost certainly do this, so in the heat of the moment I'm thinking 'implied odds'. When the 2 comes and makes me the second nuts, I inexplicably shut down. I'm fairly sure, with the guy to the left never folding a pair, I should be slamming this for value?

  • #2
    Originally posted by Jameisus View Post
    Discounting the 2 of clubs, I have 3 outs, which I in my head translate quickly as 6%, and looking back my pot odds are 6.5:1, with the odds to make my hand being around 19:1, is this correct?

    Hi Jamei,

    That's not correct, you also make a straight with a 6.

    Preflop call is fine. Flop call is fine, although you could consider raising here to take the initiative and get it heads up with the player who is simply betting his position at least some of the time, and when he's betting a pair it's usually going to be a small pair, 7x, 4x, 66... hands that may call your checkraise but will have a hard time getting to showdown since most turn and rivers will be scare cards to them. And you have outs to improve with a double gutshot (2 or 6), an ace overcard, and back door spades.

    On the turn when you get there, I prefer to lead out now. The 2h is a perfect card, it's one of the few turn cards NOT scary to the aforementioned small pairs, and it's not a club. In a multi-way pot you don't want to risk it checking around and you can't count on V4 to bet again for you after he's been called in 3 places, especially when his range is likely weak.
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