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    I thought he couldnt have AA or KK for those hand would have 3 bet me preflop. So only this could be me was QT but he could maybe have some two pair combos. SO was my play correct

  • #2
    Hey Animosama

    Tough spot!

    I think here on the turn we should consider going all in or folding. I think this is a classic spot where calling is the 'compromise' play and is our worst option of the three.

    If we go all-in then we don't lose value from a hand like AK or AJ or 77 when a four to a straight or three to a flush card comes on the river and we check to him. There are a lot of cards like that. We also get all the money in now and ensure we don't make mistaken check-folds on the river. Against QT we have 10 outs now and about ~22% equity.

    I think this is a good spot to talk about combinations a bit. When the board is three cards to a straight often the player's range is more straight heavy than you would expect because of the combinations.

    For example on this board there are only 3 combinations of 77, 9 combinations of AK, but 16 combinations of QT! Can you count them all?

    If you think he would 3b AA/KK, wouldn't he also 3b AK sometimes?

    A lot to think about in this hand, but I think the main thing is to either go all-in or fold on the turn, and not call out of position and check the river. I would fold a fair amount of the time but I don't know this player. He certainly looks strong !

    Gareth

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