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Chances to hit nut

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  • Chances to hit nut

    What are the chances you hit nut if you have a backdoor flush draw and backdoor straight draw? (This is different from having flush and straight draw from flop)

  • #2
    holding what cards and with what cards on the board? there are a few combos where you could hit the nuts, but a ton more where you may hit a flush or straight and have it NOT bet the nuts.

    John (JWK24)
    Super-Moderator



    6 Time Bracelet Winner


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    • #3
      Well, it does not have to be nuts but wondering the possibility of hitting either open straight or open flush draw

      Does this make sense to you? Did I calculate it correctly?

      Back-door Straight Draw + Back-door Flush Draw - Combination of Back Door Flush Straight Draw
      (4/50*3/49)+(10/50*9/49) - [(4/50*10/50)*(3/49*9/49)]= 4.227%

      All-in Flop to River
      1-(1-0.4227)^2= 8.275%

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      • #4
        those numbers are definitely NOT right.

        Are you wanting for a backdoor or an open-ended?

        Please let me know and I'll get you the correct numbers.

        John (JWK24)
        Super-Moderator



        6 Time Bracelet Winner


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        • #5
          Oops did not meant to say open straight or flush. It is suppose to be backdoor

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          • #6
            just google odds and outs charts for nlhe.

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            • #7
              Well you cannot google it because they are not simple outs and draws. My question is compounding draws. To get backdoor flush or straight, I need to get the right draw at turn and then another at river. If you read my post carefully

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              • #8
                backdoor gutshot, backdoor open ended, backdoor flush.. what do you want? they'll all be different.
                Super-Moderator



                6 Time Bracelet Winner


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                • #9
                  backdoor open ended + backdoor flush combination please

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                  • #10
                    backdoor flush is 4%
                    runner/runner for straight is 1.5%

                    so the combo would be 5.5%

                    John (JWK24)
                    Super-Moderator



                    6 Time Bracelet Winner


                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Ty so much

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