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Guess my stats for a $1 reward! Grinding 100x $1.50 Turbo Fifty50

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  • Guess my stats for a $1 reward! Grinding 100x $1.50 Turbo Fifty50

    Alright. Here's the deal.

    I'm going to play 100 tournaments, $1.50 buy-in, Turbo speed, Fifty50 payout structure, at PokerStars, starting tomorrow, in around 24 hours from now.

    What will my ITM% and ROI be in this 100-tournament sample?

    Whoever comes closest wins $1.00 which I'll transfer to their PS account. I'll be comparing the arithmetic average of the error % so if you guess my ITM is 55% but it ends up being 50% that's a 10% error.

    You can study my stats all you want if you want to get a sense of my performance in the past but I haven't really played this kind of tournaments lately so I have no idea how I'll do. I'm curious to find out.

    Now I'll be the first to guess:

    100 games, Avg buy-in $1.50, ITM 55%, ROI 8%.

    But if I win, I'll send the $1 to #2 so you don't have to worry about me trying to match my own guess.

  • #2
    ITM 75% ROI 15%
    Good luck with the challenge.


    • #3
      **moved to more appropriate forum JWK24**

      6 Time Bracelet Winner


      • #4
        ITM 0% ROI 0% ps id:bokyawumbup:
        Bracelet Winner


        • #5
          Originally posted by bokyaw View Post
          ITM 0% ROI 0%
          If ITM is 0%, ROI will be -100%.

          My guess: ITM 59%, ROI 12%
          Double Bracelet Winner


          • #6
            With apologies for perhaps underestimating your skills, I'll go for slightly lower numbers.
            ITM of 51%, ROI of 2.3%

            I hope you prove me wrong! Good luck!
            Bracelet Winner


            • #7
              Itm 63% roi 14%



              • #8
                Itm 70, roi 11


                • #9
                  Itm & roi

                  I'm going with an ITM of 56% and an ROI of 11%


                  • #10
                    ITM 64% ROI 1.5%

                    I reckon you need to be 60-70% ITM just to break even - then the ROI will depend on how often you get a big stack and take a cash prize in the $3.50-$4.00 range.

                    Good luck - should be very interesting.

                    4 Time Bracelet Winner


                    • #11
                      Itm 45%

                      ROI 26%

                      Grade. B
                      I am always ready to learn although I do not always like being taught. ~Winston Churchill

                      13 Time Bracelet Winner


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by raccy View Post
                        ITM 55%
                        Hey raccy I haven't been following the debates y'all have been having over 50/50's since I haven't played them in a while, and when I gave them a try it was a massive disaster It's always seemed like maybe there are two ways to be profitable at 50/50's - and I've heard of lots of people doing it by cashing a lot for a little. But based on the way Celina Lin played in her *EPIC* video, it also seems like it's possible to be profitable by cashing less often for a lot? Although I've never actually seen or heard of anybody who's done it this way. But it sounds like that's maybe your plan? So I guess I'll pick an ITM close to what you've estimated for yourself, and then ... well sometimes the variance can be funny so I guess over a sample of 100 games it could wind up a lot higher or a lot lower ... maybe I'll take a gamble and give you a higher one. So my guess'll be: ITM: 57% ROI: 14% GL!! umbup:


                        • #13
                          53%itm 7%roi




                          • #14
                            I've been playing these myself, I'm going to guess 65% ITM with 45% ROI.
                            Bracelet Winner


                            • #15
                              Thanks everyone!

                              I see 12 valid guesses, so far, including ITM 0%, ROI 0%. (I hope that's not the winner)

                              I'm about to get started but I'll be accepting more guesses for a few more hours. I'm not sure if this will improve my credibility commenting on those Fiifty50 games or make it worse but either way, we should find out in less than a week.



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