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Can anyone tell me the odds of this happening?

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  • Can anyone tell me the odds of this happening?

    PokerStars Game #58500451706: Tournament #370294723, $7.00+$0.50 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2011/03/01 17:04:39 ET
    Table '370294723 1' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
    Seat 1: matukamatuka (1500 in chips)
    Seat 2: Nightbird21 (2665 in chips) is sitting out
    Seat 4: jml5052 (1745 in chips)
    Seat 6: DKing107 (1375 in chips)
    Seat 7: slin87 (1380 in chips)
    Seat 8: rolex_arg (1525 in chips)
    Seat 9: FunMoneyOnly (3310 in chips)
    jml5052: posts small blind 50
    DKing107: posts big blind 100
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to jml5052 [6s 6h]
    slin87: folds
    rolex_arg: folds
    FunMoneyOnly: raises 200 to 300
    matukamatuka: folds
    Nightbird21: folds
    jml5052: calls 250
    DKing107: folds
    *** FLOP *** [Ad 6d Ac]
    jml5052: checks
    FunMoneyOnly: bets 100
    jml5052: raises 500 to 600
    FunMoneyOnly: raises 2410 to 3010 and is all-in
    jml5052: calls 845 and is all-in
    Uncalled bet (1565) returned to FunMoneyOnly
    *** TURN *** [Ad 6d Ac] [As]
    *** RIVER *** [Ad 6d Ac As] [6c]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    jml5052: shows [6s 6h] (four of a kind, Sixes)
    FunMoneyOnly: shows [Ts Ah] (four of a kind, Aces)
    FunMoneyOnly collected 3590 from pot
    jml5052 finished the tournament in 7th place
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 3590 | Rake 0
    Board [Ad 6d Ac As 6c]
    Seat 1: matukamatuka folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 2: Nightbird21 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 4: jml5052 (small blind) showed [6s 6h] and lost with four of a kind, Sixes
    Seat 6: DKing107 (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 7: slin87 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 8: rolex_arg folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 9: FunMoneyOnly showed [Ts Ah] and won (3590) with four of a kind, Aces

  • #2
    well, your opponent does have 4 outs on the flop, and if it had been a ten instead of an ace on the turn, u'd be golden hitting ur one out six on the river. Also important to note: if the turn was anything but a ten, ace, or six, he would have three additional outs to fill up to a better boat, which would have given him a total of 7, or 14% to win.


    • #3
      That's poker homie! I probably would have mucked preflop ... risking to much of your stack on a small PP. Even if you put your opponent on over cards you are slightly better than 50% to win.


      • #4
        Download Pokerstove and punch in the numbers.
        I would have done it for you but this program is not Mac friendly and the program I run to convert
        to mac use was acting up.

        Download this if you are serious about poker,will help you a lot.


        • #5
          I can't download that as I also use a mac. I wasn't upset about the hand I just thought it was crazy that his ace hit and then my 6 also hit.


          • #6

            It happens, at least your not this guy.


            • #7
              Played in a live game in a pub
              On the button with 10's and I 4xbb raise preflop
              All fold except the BB
              Flop = 10 10 A
              BB checks and I shove all in
              BB calls and has more chips than me
              BB shows AA vs my 10 10
              Feeling pretty confident as the turn is a blank
              But low and behold river comes the last ACE in the pack
              I lose lol
              Apparently the odds of Quads vs Quads in the same hand
              are 1 million to 1


              • #8
                A tough bad beat. Too bad you were not in a bricks and mortar card room. Many of them would have paid you handsomely for a bad beat - and the rest of the table would have been happy to share in the winnings.

                Good Luck next time.




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