We've all been in this situation many times, making a decision for our tournament life. In fact, it's very rare to win a Poker tournament without having to put your tournament life on the line during multiple points.
Luckily for us in this video Jason openly talks about his thought process. He starts off by hitting the 45 second time bank and comments:
"I do think there's a chance that he has it, as he's supposed to have here, he could also have a diamond draw as planned, could also have 78, A8, K8 something like that, could have 2 pair here as played, 97, 22. Never has TT, 99, could have T9, T7, 97. So many draws miss though, alight I've talked myself into it."
Let's see if Jason called!
If you're hungry for more you can view the entire 5-hour stream here.
How to Evaluate the RiverThere are many different strategies when it comes to evaluating the river, here are a few tips to get your started.
Replay the Hand – how did your opponent play each street? In this example Jason knows his opponent is unlikely to have TT and 99, because the board was so draw heavy, they probably would have tried to bet Jason of draws in prior streets.
It's important you learn to remember the action of your opponents throughout the hand, as this information may help you make the correct decision later.
Blockers – do you hold any blockers, Jason has Js9s. The Js blocks the percentage of times his opponent will have a straight, and the 9s lowers his opponent's percentage change of holding some of the 2 pair combinations.
Of course, holding blockers that may affect the hand your opponent is holding, is very valuable information to have. If you're opponent needs J8 to make a straight and you hold one of the 4 Jacks in your hand, it's less likely that's the hand they have.
Missed Draws – if throughout the hand you feel that your opponent is on a draw, the draw misses and your opponent comes out with a big bet on the river, it's likely they are betting so big as they have no showdown value. To win the hand, they must make you fold, I believe this is what happened in Jason's hand above. Of course, it's also possible they are betting for maximum value, so you must try to recall how they bet their big hands too.
If you need more help on the river, read bfizz11's Poker Guide: Catching Bluffs on the River.